The crucial Bihar Assembly Election 2025 exit poll analysis is finalized. Discover the full seat tally predictions, including the latest from Axis My India and Today’s Chanakya, and understand the political implications for Nitish Kumar’s NDA and Tejashwi Yadav’s Mahagathbandhan.
Bihar Election 2025 Final Verdict
As the final ballots were sealed across the 243 Assembly constituencies, the political landscape of Bihar shifted from high-octane campaigning to intense statistical scrutiny. The much-anticipated Bihar Assembly Election 2025 exit poll projections have delivered a nearly unanimous verdict: the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), spearheaded by Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, appears poised to secure a comfortable, if not decisive, majority. This collective projection has ignited celebrations among the ruling coalition while leaving the opposition Mahagathbandhan (MGB), helmed by the youthful Tejashwi Yadav, grappling with a surprisingly distant second-place finish.
The crucial projections that were awaited, particularly from respected agencies like Axis My India and Today’s Chanakya, have now been released, further cementing the overall trend observed on Tuesday evening. These surveys, renowned for their historical accuracy in regional elections, suggest the NDA is likely to comfortably cross the simple majority mark of 122 seats. The cumulative Poll of Polls, aggregating data from over nine major agencies—including Matrize, People’s Pulse, P-Marq, and Dainik Bhaskar—places the NDA in a commanding position, averaging around 148 seats.
The narrative crafted by the MGB, focusing primarily on issues of unemployment, price rise, and a call for Parivartan (Change), seems to have struggled against the established political machinery and the perceived stability offered by the incumbent alliance. While Tejashwi Yadav’s rallies attracted immense crowds, the exit polls indicate that these numbers may not have translated into electoral gains sufficient to unseat the veteran Chief Minister. The projections place the Mahagathbandhan’s expected haul at approximately 88-90 seats, a shortfall that suggests a failure to consolidate the opposition vote bank effectively across the diverse geographical and social terrain of the state.
